Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares fell nearly 2% pre-market today after Raymond James downgraded the company from Strong Buy to Outperform and cut its price target to $195 from $275, citing rising near-term margin risks and a cloudier investment return timeline. While the firm remains positive on Amazon’s long-term AI and infrastructure initiatives, it believes the market is underestimating the potential EBIT pressure for 2025 and 2026.
Analysts highlight that Amazon’s exposure to China—accounting for roughly 30% of GMV and 15% of ad revenue—along with its dependence on U.S. rural delivery services, could create drag as the company diversifies its supply chain and logistics network in response to macro uncertainty and new tariff threats.
While long-term fundamentals remain intact, the report suggests other names like Meta, Uber, and MercadoLibre offer clearer ROI visibility and near-term catalysts, prompting the shift in recommendation.