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HomeBusinessOil Pauses Rally as Inventories Rise and Geopolitical Moves Grab Attention

Oil Pauses Rally as Inventories Rise and Geopolitical Moves Grab Attention

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Oil prices eased in Asian trade on Wednesday after a four-day rally, as an unexpected build in U.S. crude stocks and President Trump’s Middle East visit tempered earlier optimism from a U.S.–China tariff truce and softer inflation data.

H1: Crude Prices Slip Amid Inventory Bump

Brent (June): –0.4% to $66.38/barrel

WTI (June): –0.4% to $63.01/barrel(as of 22:02 ET / 02:02 GMT)

After jumping over 2.5% on Tuesday—near a two-week high—both benchmarks retraced as the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise rise in U.S. crude inventories.

Tariff Truce and Inflation Data Fuel Rally
Monday’s U.S.–China Deal

U.S. cuts China tariffs to 30% (from 145%)

China trims U.S. duties to 10% (from 125%)

90-day pause spurred a risk-on shift, lifting oil on stronger demand prospects.

Softer U.S. Inflation

April CPI rose 2.3% YoY (vs. 2.4% expected) and 0.2% MoM

Contained inflation reinforced hopes that lower tariffs won’t reignite price pressures—supporting economic growth and crude demand.

Middle East Developments Under Scrutiny

Trump in Saudi Arabia:

Vowed to lift Syria sanctions

Secured $600 billion in Saudi investments for the U.S.

Iran Sanctions: U.S. Treasury targeted firms shipping Iranian oil to China, adding supply-side uncertainty after recent nuclear-dialogue progress.

Inventory Surprise and Technical Levels
The API’s weekly report showed U.S. commercial crude stocks rose unexpectedly—contrary to forecasts for a draw—capping gains. Traders will await the EIA’s official inventory data for confirmation.

Tracking Real-Time Oil Prices
Stay on top of shifting benchmarks and futures curves—such as contango/backwardation—via the Commodities API, which provides live and historical quotes for Brent, WTI, and other energy commodities.

What to Watch

EIA Inventory Release: A larger-than-expected build could push prices lower.

Gulf Political Signals: Any further U.S.–Gulf cooperation or Iran tensions will influence supply forecasts.

Trade Negotiations: Progress beyond the 90-day tariff pause could underpin longer-term demand growth.

By combining real-time oil data with key inventory and geopolitical events, investors and traders can navigate the next inflection points in the crude market.

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