Presumptive No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams is already the heavy favorite to claim Offensive Rookie of the Year honors even before the start of the 2024 NFL Draft.
Williams is widely expected to go No. 1 to the Chicago Bears, who traded Justin Fields to Pittsburgh earlier this offseason. The Bears’ current quarterback depth chart consists of 2023 free agent rookie Tyson Bagent and journeyman Brett Rypien.
Williams is likely to step in as the immediate starter for the Bears, leading to his +250 odds at DraftKings to win top offensive rookie honors next season. That’s well ahead of wide receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. (+550) and Malik Nabers, who is being offered at +800 along with former LSU teammate quarterback Jayden Daniels.
OFFENSIVE ROY ODDS
Caleb Williams, QB, Southern Cal (+250)
Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State (+550)
Malik Nabers, WR, LSU (+800)
Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU (+800)
Rome Odunze, WR, Washington (+1100)
Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina (+1100)
J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan (+1600)
Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington (+1800)
Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia (+2200)
Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU (+2500)
Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas (+3500)
Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas (+3500)
Bo Nix, QB, Oregon (+3500)
Williams will no doubt remain the favorite once all the leading contenders’ NFL destinations are known following the draft, but he’s also walking into a prime position to be an immediate producer.
Chicago brought in running back D’Andre Swift and wide receiver Keenan Allen this offseason to add firepower to complement Williams. That trio will join an offensive group that also includes No. 1 wide receiver DJ Moore and tight end Cole Kmet.
Daniels is expected to go to Washington with the second overall pick. The Commanders do have veteran quarterback Marcus Mariota if they want to bring Daniels along a bit slower. They also added tight end Zach Ertz this offseason and have a solid receiving corps led by Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson.
Beyond that, where the skill position players wind up remains to be seen and their related odds of winning rookie honors next season will be impacted.
Harrison, Nabers and Odunze are each viewed as elite wide receiver prospects. Harrison is the -275 favorite at BetMGM to go to Arizona with the fourth overall pick, while Nabers is the +160 favorite to go sixth overall to the New York Giants. However, Odunze leads with 27.6 percent of the money backing him to land with the Giants.
The biggest liability for BetMGM at No. 6 overall is Odunze’s former teammate Michael Penix Jr., whose name has been increasingly mentioned as a possibility to replace Daniel Jones in New York.
–Field Level Media
