HSBC analysts have downgraded Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) from “Buy” to “Reduce” and nearly halved the price target to $110 from $200, citing challenges in AMD’s AI GPU roadmap and competitive positioning against Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).
Key Concerns Highlighted by HSBC
AI GPU Roadmap Weakness
MI325 GPU demand has been tepid.
Delays in introducing an AI rack solution competitive with Nvidia’s NVL rack platform.
Revenue Forecast Cuts
AI GPU revenue forecast for FY25 reduced to $8.1 billion, significantly below the consensus estimate of $9.5 billion and HSBC’s previous estimate of $12.3 billion.
Limited Upside in Non-AI Data Center Revenue
AMD’s client revenue growth in FY25 is expected to slow to 12% year-over-year, down from the 44% growth forecasted for FY24.
Product Timelines
The MI350 chip is expected in late 2025, but competitive rack solutions, like Nvidia’s NVL, might not arrive until early 2026.
Market Impact and Share Performance
AMD shares fell nearly 3% in premarket trading on Wednesday following the downgrade.
The stock has already corrected by 24% over the past three months, and analysts suggest further downside risk.
Strategic Implications for AMD
AMD’s AI GPU market penetration is expected to lag behind Nvidia, affecting its long-term growth prospects.
While AMD remains competitive in non-AI segments, HSBC’s concerns suggest a deceleration in overall momentum.
For an industry-wide perspective on valuation and growth trends, the Industry P/E Ratio API can provide insights into how AMD stacks up against competitors.
Additionally, tracking AMD’s product launches and financial updates is crucial, and the Earnings Calendar API offers timely access to such events.
Investor Outlook
Despite strong performances in previous years, AMD faces significant challenges in maintaining its competitive edge, particularly in the AI GPU segment, where Nvidia continues to dominate. Investors should closely monitor AMD’s execution of its product roadmap and developments in its AI strategy to assess long-term potential.
