Missing the Best Days Cuts Returns Sharply
A recent Wells Fargo analysis shows that missing the 30 best trading days in the S&P 500 from April 1995 to April 2025 would have reduced average annual returns from 8.03% to just 1.67%, below inflation. This stark difference underscores how attempting to sidestep downturns can mean forfeiting the bounce-backs that drive long-term growth.
Volatility Isn’t Your Enemy
Recent tariff-driven swings highlighted the dangers of market timing. On April 3, the S&P 500 plunged, erasing $2.4 trillion in value, only to rebound 9.5% days later after a tariff pause. Rather than chasing exits, Wells Fargo advises investors to rebalance during turbulence and “focus on longer-term implications.”
How to Monitor Real-Time Turbulence
When the market’s fear gauge (VIX) spikes above 40, history shows subsequent equity gains. For hands-on traders, the Technical Intraday StdDev API provides real-time measures of intraday volatility—helping you spot extreme swings without jumping out prematurely.
Staying the Course
Over a full cycle, remaining fully invested has proven more rewarding than trying to dodge the worst days. Periods of high turbulence have often laid the groundwork for stronger equity returns once normalcy returns. By using volatility indicators wisely and keeping a long-term perspective, investors can capture market upside without getting whipsawed by every headline.