The U.S. dollar slipped again on Monday, weighed down by a sharp surge in Taiwan’s currency, which sparked speculation that several Asian nations may be engineering revaluations of their currencies in an effort to secure trade concessions from the U.S.
Taiwan Dollar Climbs Sharply
The Taiwan dollar rose more than 3% to 29.654 per U.S. dollar, continuing a meteoric climb that saw it soar 4.5% on Friday, marking a near three-year high. This sharp appreciation is fueling discussions about whether the U.S. is influencing these movements as part of ongoing trade negotiations.
Despite Taiwan’s central bank denying any pressure from the White House to raise certain Asian currencies for trade purposes, market participants believe the shift may be happening organically.
A senior Taiwanese financial industry executive told Reuters on the condition of anonymity that the currency’s appreciation could be linked to U.S. influence: “Hot money is coming into Taiwan, and the central bank is allowing it. Many are saying that’s due to pressure from the U.S. I would say that must be the case,” they added.
China’s Yuan Also Strengthens
Meanwhile, China’s yuan also saw significant gains, hitting its highest point in almost six months at 7.1879 per U.S. dollar. This rise comes as investors speculate that China may be willing to allow its currency to appreciate as part of broader Sino-U.S. trade talks.
While the Chinese Commerce Ministry has confirmed that it is evaluating an offer from Washington to hold talks over President Trump’s 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, the two sides still appear far apart in their negotiations.
President Trump reiterated in a Sunday TV interview that he believed China was eager to strike a deal, although he provided no details on the timeline or specifics of any potential agreement.
Market Sentiment and Trade Talks
The strengthening of both the Taiwan dollar and the Chinese yuan signals that currency markets are closely monitoring the developments in U.S.-Asia trade relations. Investors will be keeping an eye on upcoming economic data and forex reports, including China’s monthly trade data and the broader implications of U.S. tariffs, to gauge the true impact of trade negotiations on the global currency landscape.
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